We opened up the New Year with several exciting games on the second, and there are still several great games left, including the almighty BCS National Championship game.
With college fantasy football heads up and solo contests left to make money on, I’m offering up a list of players to avoid in this last set of bowl games.
Logan Thomas, Virginia Tech (218k)
Thomas came on well at the end of the year for the the Hokies, and is one of the biggest reasons why Va Tech managed to make a BCS game.
However, Michigan’s defense is improved in 2011 and they have proven that they can force turnovers and hit hard.
I don’t see Thomas having any more than 250 yards passing and two touchdowns, but I’m also predicting at least two turnovers.
A.J. McCarron, Alabama (138k)
There’s no reason to think that McCarron can have a reasonable game against the second best defense in the country in LSU.
McCarron will struggle and likely turn the ball over.
I expect Trent Richardson and Eddie Lacy to also see heavy carries this week as well.
Fitzgerald Touissaint, Michigan (227k)
Fitzgerald Touissaint has been a machine over his last four weeks, and his fantasy stock has really risen.
However, the match-up against a tough Virginia Tech run defense makes me a bit nervous as there’s no guarantee that he will see his 20-25 carries.
There’s a good chance that this becomes the Denard Robinson show this week, and I don’t believe Touissaint is worth the 227k risk.
Kenny Hilliard, LSU (192k)
This is kind of a no-brainer as Hilliard’s price has risen a bit more with his touchdown ability in recent weeks.
But he’s not a safe bet to run for heavy yardage, and him being in a running back by committee with Alfred Blue, Michael Ford, and Spencer Ware does not bode well.
Chris Harper, Kansas State (100k)
Harper has been seeing more starting action with Tyler Lockett (kidney) done for the season.
He’s made a few solid grabs in recent weeks, but I’m not confident in Collin Klein’s ability to throw the ball consistently.
Even with the excellent match-up, I’m reluctant to go with Harper.
Martavious Odoms, Michigan (106k)
Odoms has caught a touchdown in his last three weeks, which has inflated his price a bit.
But Odoms isn’t the go-to guy for Michigan consistently, and he’s a big risk at 106k.
As mentioned above, I expect Denard Robinson to put up a show on the ground.
Kansas State Wildcats (77k)
Kansas State’s pass defense is one of the worst in the country, and facing an Arkansas offense that spreads the ball out vertically makes me nervous.
77k is a bit expensive for a defense that will likely give up 30-40 points this week.
They don’t force enough turnovers to make up the difference and aren’t a threat to score touchdowns defensively.
West Virginia Mountaineers (131k)
131k is just way too expensive this week for the Mountaineers defense.
They are giving up just over 26 points a game and face a Clemson offense with a lot of speed and a lot of talent.
The match-up is not favorable by any means, and they are way too expensive to gamble with this week.